last update: 2018 02 18abilities, traditions and ethics change as slowly as in the past.
The Industrial Revolution began in Europe in the late 18th century.
Gregor Mendel began his work on inherited traits as a christian monk in a monastery in 1856.
Charles Darwin published On the Origin of Species in 1859.
At the end of the 19th century, some scientists believed that all important laws of physics had been discovered.
In 1927, Nikolai Koltsov proposed that inherited traits would be inherited via a "giant hereditary molecule".
In 1958, Francis Crick stated the central dogma of molecular biology.
In the 1990s began the open source software revolution.
After the year 2000 began the social media revolution using the web.
In 2017, a women received a bionic hand with sense of touch.
In 2018, the open source hardware revolution might have began.
In 2018, paper jam in printers is still a problem.
Many people and their elected politicians in one of the richest nations of the world still do not accept biological evolution in the 21st century.
Some problems are more difficult than others.
Some solutions are more profitable than others.
Some efforts are better financed than others.
Exponential increase of knowledge and abilities because knowledge and abilities are required to increase knowledge and abilities.
Exponential growth: abilities (time) = abilities (time0) * efforttime
Maybe the estimated time is too early or short by 5 to 15 years. automation and machine abilities.
Change of best practices and expected practices for:
- more automation.
- less employees.
Increase of observation by machines.
Increase of knowledge of any kind.
Increase of tolerance and safety.
Decrease of privacy and secrets.
Decrease of harm by:
Better ways to produce food by:
- using chemicals.
- using natural and increasingly genetically modified plants, fungi, algae, bacteria and other cells.
Food will have optimal quality and optimal content of nutrients and interesting tastes and no toxins.
Food will be produced in some kind of containers for various reasons like e.g.
- Automated work.
- Efficient provision and management of nutrients and water.
- Optimal climate.
- Less ground surface is required because of many floors in a large building.
- No pests.
- No weed.
- No interaction with the outside environment.
Increase of automation makes it increasingly difficult to maintain and to justify wage slavery.
Wage slavery as work for money for humane survival.
States should introduce digital currencies for a debt-free tax-free universal money income.
Special organizations become alternatives to classic companies and classic political parties.
Maybe the Council Of Earth or a precursor emerges this decade.
Begin of unknown lifespans for most persons: Death statistics are useless to deduce a death probability.
Increase of efforts to understand the brain and the relation between physical space and mental spaces.
Increase of improvements of living biological body parts:
- By chemicals.
- By genetic changes.
Increase of machine persons:
- Implantation of machine parts and robots into biological bodies.
- Replacement of biological body parts by machine body parts.
- Survival of persons by transplantation of brain parts into machines. Maybe after 2025.
- Creation or modification of persons by growing artificial brain parts and connecting them to machines or other brain parts. Maybe after 2025.
- Creation of machine persons without biological body parts. Maybe after 2025.
The end of wage slavery means:
- The end of classic companies, salaries, pensions, financial investments.
The end of classic money and taxation systems.
The state is forced to introduce a universal money income or to abandon money entirely.
Computer programs replace money as information system and allocation system for many persons.
The Council Of Earth or a precursor exists in this decade.
Use and property of land and water changes in some, many or most countries.
It has already happened in in New Zealand in 2017 although not with private property.
Artificial biological brain parts are grown in a machine to avoid effort and harm of the transplantation from a biological body into a machine body.
The number of members of the human species decreases.
Why keep natural sex organs if better body parts and persons can be created better artificially.
machine abilities (artificial intelligence, AI) will increase and what abilities will be created.
There are different constraints:
- Technical, social, biological. Engineers must create the
machines and programs.
New kinds of machines will change much.
E.g. memristor (state in 2017), atomristor, artificial brain, quantum computing.
It is probably useful to predict the increase of computation power and to assume that machine abilities increase accordingly.
- Practical. What is useful and wanted ?
- Political and ethical. What is allowed ?
It is clear that machine abilities will be very diverse.
A running program has one or more abilities.
IMO the technological singularity is likely to begin with a so called narrow AI or weak AI.
The Turing test is passed when you can not tell if the conversation partner is an AI or a human.
Super intelligence requires more and will fail the Turing test until it can emulate a human person.
Super intelligence requires a world government because of its potential to harm humanity.
Separate states with their separate economies, agendas, armies and secret services are no longer acceptable in a world with one or more beings with super intelligence.
A war between beings with artificial super intelligence must be avoided.
Eventually the human brain will be part of a world or society determined by knowledge, abilities and decisions of machines.