last update: 2018 04 21
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Evolution

The Industrial Revolution began in Europe in the late 18th century.
In 1856, Gregor Mendel began his work on inherited traits as a Catholic monk in a monastery.
In 1859, Charles Darwin published On the Origin of Species.
In 1927, Nikolai Koltsov proposed that inherited traits would be inherited via a "giant hereditary molecule".
In 1953, the first transistor computer became operational.
In 1958, Francis Crick stated the central dogma of molecular biology.
In the 1990s began the open source software revolution.
In the 2000s began the social media revolution with the web.
In 2015, a revolution began in genetic engineering with CRISPR/Cas9 related technologies.
In 2017, a women received a bionic hand with sense of touch.
In 2018, the open source hardware revolution might have begun.

In 2018, paper jam in printers is still a problem.
Too many people and some of their elected politicians in the USA in the early 21st century still do not accept physical, chemical, geological and biological evolution.

Some problems are more difficult than others.
Some solutions are more profitable than others.
Some efforts are more supported than others.


Maybe the estimated time is too early or short by 5 to 15 years.

2020 - 2030

Increase of automation and machine abilities.

Change of best practices and expected practices for:
Increase of observation by machines.
Increase of knowledge of any kind.
Increase of tolerance and safety.

Decrease of privacy and secrets.

Decrease of harm by:
Better ways to produce food by:
Food will have optimal quality and optimal content of nutrients and interesting tastes and no toxins.
Food will be produced in some kind of containers for various reasons like e.g.
Increase of automation makes it increasingly difficult to maintain and to justify wage slavery.
Wage slavery as work for money for humane survival.

States should introduce digital currencies for a debt-free tax-free universal money income.

Various organizations become alternatives to classic companies regarding the making of goods and provision of services.

Maybe the Council Of Earth or a precursor will be created this decade.

Begin of unknown lifespans for most persons: Death statistics are useless to deduce a death probability.

Increase of efforts to understand the brain and the relation between physical space and mental spaces.

Increase of improvements of living biological body parts:
Increase of machine persons:

2030 - 2040

Wage slavery ends for most persons because of automation of most work and services.

The end of wage slavery means:
Computer programs replace money as information system and allocation system for many persons.

Use and property of land and water changes in some, many or most countries.
It has already happened in in New Zealand in 2017 although not with private property.

2040 - 2050

Many new persons are created artificially.
Artificial biological brain parts are grown in a machine to avoid effort and harm of the transplantation from a biological body into a machine body.

The number of members of the human species decreases.
Why keep natural sex organs if better body parts and persons can be created better artificially.

Artificial intelligence

It is impossible to predict how quickly machine abilities (artificial intelligence, AI) will increase and what abilities will be created.

There are different constraints:
It is clear that machine abilities will be very diverse.
A running program has one or more abilities.

IMO the technological singularity is likely to begin with a so called narrow AI or weak AI.

The Turing test is passed when you can not tell if the conversation partner is an AI or a human.

Super intelligence requires more and will fail the Turing test until it can emulate a human person.

Super intelligence requires a world government because of its potential to harm humanity.
Separate states with their separate economies, agendas, armies and secret services are no longer acceptable in a world with one or more beings with super intelligence.

A war between beings with artificial super intelligence must be avoided.


Eventually the human brain will be part of a world that is determined by knowledge, abilities and decisions of machines.
The human brain will be used as generator of mental experiences.