last update: 2018 08 01
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Evolution

The Industrial Revolution began in Europe in the late 18th century.
In 1856, Gregor Mendel began his work on inherited traits as a Catholic monk in a monastery.
In 1859, Charles Darwin published On the Origin of Species.
In 1927, Nikolai Koltsov proposed that inherited traits would be inherited via a "giant hereditary molecule".
In 1953, the first transistor computer became operational.
In 1958, Francis Crick stated the central dogma of molecular biology.
In the 1990s began the open source software revolution.
In the 2000s began the social media revolution with the web.
In 2015, a revolution began in genetic engineering with CRISPR/Cas9 related technologies.
In 2017, a women received a bionic hand with sense of touch.
In 2018, the open source hardware revolution might have begun.

In 2018, paper jam in printers is still a problem.

Some problems are more difficult than others.
Some solutions are more profitable than others.
Some efforts are more supported than others.


The following estimated timeline corresponds to what I think is possible if the timeline was the goal of all societies on Earth.

I expect the timeline to be 5 to 25 years too early.

2020 - 2030

Increase of automation and machine abilities.

Change of best practices and expected practices for:
Increase of observation by machines.
Increase of knowledge of any kind.
Increase of tolerance and safety.

Decrease of privacy and secrets.

Decrease of harm by:
Better ways to produce food by:
Food will have optimal quality and optimal content of nutrients and interesting tastes and no toxins.
Food will be produced in some kind of containers for various reasons like e.g.
Increase of automation makes it increasingly difficult to maintain and to justify wage slavery.
Wage slavery as work for money for humane survival.

Various organizations become alternatives to classic companies regarding the making of goods and provision of services.

Begin of unknown lifespans for most persons: Death statistics are useless to deduce a death probability.

Increase of efforts to understand the brain and the relation between physical space and mental spaces.

Increase of improvements of living biological body parts:
Increase of machine persons:

2030 - 2040

Wage slavery ends for most persons because of automation of most work and services.

Use and property of land and water changes in some, many or most countries.
It has already happened in in New Zealand in 2017 although not with private property.

2040 - 2050

Some persons have been built artificially.
Brain parts are grown in machines.

The number of members of the human species might decrease from now on.
Natural body parts including natural sex organs are replaced by better machine parts.

Obviously this requires the ethics and politics of no secrets to prevent the horror of emotional brains entrapped and tortured in machines.
There is no reason why machine bodies are not better and more reliable than biological bodies except in case of torture where the biologial body can die.

Artificial intelligence

It is impossible to predict how quickly machine abilities (artificial intelligence, AI) will increase and what abilities will be created.

There are different constraints:
It is clear that machine abilities will be very diverse.
A running program has one or more abilities.

IMO the technological singularity is likely to begin with a so called narrow AI or weak AI.

The Turing test is passed when you can not tell if the conversation partner is an AI or a human.

Super intelligence requires more and will fail the Turing test until it can emulate a human person.

Super intelligence requires a world government because of its potential to harm humanity.
Separate states with their separate economies, agendas, armies and secret services are no longer acceptable in a world with one or more beings with super intelligence.

A war between beings with artificial super intelligence must be avoided.


Eventually the human brain will be part of a world that is determined by knowledge, abilities and decisions of machines.
The human brain will be used as generator of mental experiences.